{"id":74,"date":"2026-05-23T13:40:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T13:40:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/usabusinesschronicle.com\/?p=74"},"modified":"2026-05-23T13:40:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T13:40:03","slug":"could-trumps-narcissism-save-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/usabusinesschronicle.com\/?p=74","title":{"rendered":"Could Trump\u2019s Narcissism Save Ukraine?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Ever since Donald Trump won the 2024 election, I have assumed Ukraine was doomed to fall to Russian President Vladimir Putin since no one would be able to stop the 47th<\/sup> president ending military support for Ukraine.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Read more Germany\u2019s Rearmament Is Stunning<\/a><\/p>\n

In office, Trump has often mocked Ukraine\u2019s ability to defeat Russia on the battlefield, promoted ceding Ukrainian land to Russia, and threatened to yank support. Last Friday, he gave Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky a Thanksgiving deadline to accept a 28-point \u201cpeace\u201d plan heavily favoring Russian interests. (Please read Tamar Jacoby\u2019s chilling analysis of what\u2019s in that plan.)\u00a0<\/p>\n

Then, things got weird.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

On Saturday, Trump said the plan was \u201cnot my final offer,\u201d and Secretary of State Marco Rubio told a bipartisan group of pro-Ukraine senators that the plan wasn\u2019t even America\u2019s plan but Russia\u2019s. But late in the day, Rubio posted on X that \u201cThe peace proposal was authored by the U.S.\u201d with input from Russia and Ukraine.\u00a0<\/p>\n

On Sunday, Trump ranted on his social media site about how \u201cUKRAINE \u2018LEADERSHIP\u2019 HAS EXPRESSED ZERO GRATITUDE FOR OUR EFFORTS\u201d and \u201cTHE USA CONTINUES TO SELL MASSIVE $AMOUNTS OF WEAPONS TO NATO, FOR DISTRIBUTION TO UKRAINE (CROOKED JOE GAVE EVERYTHING, FREE, FREE, FREE, INCLUDING \u2018BIG\u2019 MONEY!).\u201d But also on Sunday, U.S.-Ukraine negotiations intensified. On Tuesday, an anonymous American official told CBS News that Ukraine \u201cagreed to a peace deal\u201d with details pending. Other reports were less declaratory, and the Russian foreign minister took a skeptical tone toward the nascent deal. \u201cIf the spirit and letter of the Anchorage agreement are erased,\u201d he said, referring to the agreement made between Trump and Putin last August that informed the 28-point plan, \u201cwe\u2019ll be in a fundamentally different situation.\u201d The Washington Post<\/em> reported, \u201cMost analysts think the latest changes will be unacceptable to Moscow.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

What explains the whiplash-inducing remarks from the White House, and especially from Rubio? Toronto Star <\/em>columnist Justin Ling, reporting from an international security forum in Nova Scotia, argued that \u201c[Vice President J.D.] Vance and his hard-right janissaries have long wanted Rubio gone ([Ukraine envoy General Keith] Kellogg is already departing.) It seems they out manoeuvred [sic] him by drafting and leaking the plan behind his back, then forcing his capitulation after he denounced it.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

A New York Times<\/em>account of the negotiation zigs and the zags is more circumspect but tracks Ling\u2019s analysis: \u201cBy any measure, the administration\u2019s rollout of the new plan was maladroit at best. The White House was taken by surprise by the leak of its details \u2026 Mr. Rubio downplayed the proposal last Wednesday as \u2018a list of potential ideas,\u2019 while Mr. Trump, Vice President JD Vance and Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, embraced it.\u201d European leaders and pro-Ukraine Republicans were horrified by the plan, prompting the series of conflicting White House statements.Still, \u201cby Sunday night Mr. Rubio appeared to have wrestled back control of the negotiations. He excised \u2014 for now \u2014 sections that would forever bar Ukraine from joining NATO and that banned NATO member states from forming a security force inside Ukraine that would deter Russia from launching a new invasion.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

But Rubio wouldn\u2019t have the leeway to conduct negotiations with Ukraine without Trump\u2019s permission. Other Trump officials have been sent packing for less subordinate behavior. Why is Rubio still around?\u00a0<\/p>\n

Granted, Rubio might get fired before this column is published. But assuming he still has his job, I think the answer lies in Ling\u2019s observation that Trump \u201cdoesn\u2019t care what happens to Ukraine. He is motivated only by a pathetic and delusional desire to win the Nobel Peace Prize.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

Trump must know he would never win a Nobel for washing his hands of Ukraine, ending military support, and letting Moscow steamroll Kyiv. Any fantasies of a medal ceremony in Oslo hinge on an actual peace agreement.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Read more Putin\u2019s Energy Blitzkrieg is Backfiring<\/a><\/p>\n

The president\u2019s insatiable thirst for shiny awards and recognition from elites he otherwise disdains gives him reason to grant Rubio latitude to negotiate. Most crucially, it offers Ukraine leverage to resist a bad deal. But it gives Putin nothing.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Washington Post<\/em> recently explored Putin\u2019s endgame:\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n

Putin is willing to fight on despite the economic pain and stunning casualties that dwarf the losses of the United States in Iraq or the Soviet Union in Afghanistan because he senses U.S. and European weakness and Ukrainian exhaustion, according to analysts. <\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n

For Putin, the cost is worth it because it is not a question so much of conquering land but of reversing the Soviet Union\u2019s loss of the Cold War and reasserting Russia\u2019s status as a global power, said former Russian diplomat Boris Bondarev. <\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cHe\u2019s fighting not for villages in Ukraine. He\u2019s fighting not for territory in Ukraine, not even for rare earths in Ukraine. He is fighting for a much bigger outcome,\u201d he said. \u201cHe wants the United States, first of all, and Europe to admit that Russia has its exclusive sphere of influence where the United States and Europe are forbidden to interfere.\u201d <\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s not about territory. It depends on how long Ukrainians are going to fight, so his goal is to crush their appetite to resist.\u201d<\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

If that is true, then what Rubio and Zelensky reportedly are devising\u2014a deal to allow NATO forces inside Ukraine\u2014won\u2019t give Putin an \u201cexclusive sphere of influence\u201d and is unlikely to win his blessing. And Putin has reason to hold out; if the next American president is Vance, who appears more than ready to pull up stakes, then in three years, Russia could be handed Ukraine on a silver platter.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Fundamentally, the three leaders want different things. Putin wants an exclusive sphere of influence beyond Russia\u2019s borders. Zelensky wants no Russian influence within Ukraine\u2019s borders. Trump wants a medal and a better lead on his obituary than \u201cfirst president to be convicted of fraud and impeached twice.\u201d These interests do not align. Trump could give Putin what he wants by ending military support for Ukraine, but that\u2019s not going to impress the jurors in Oslo and therefore does not give Trump what he wants. Only a negotiated settlement between Putin and Zelensky would suffice. If a deal just came down to drawing new borders, perhaps a painful but acceptable middle ground, literally, could be found. But if Zelensky wants security guarantees backed up by NATO, and Putin wants NATO out of his backyard, then there\u2019s no middle ground.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

In other words, Trump\u2019s narcissistic and futile compulsion for a Nobel Peace Prize may be what allows Ukraine to fight on.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Read more Ukraine: Requiem for a Citizen Soldier<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump\u2019s craving for a Nobel may be the only thing stopping him from giving Putin what he wants\u2014and the leverage keeping Ukraine alive.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":73,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,6,5,2,29],"tags":[35],"class_list":["post-74","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-books","category-foreign-policy","category-podcast","category-politics","category-russias-war-on-ukraine","tag-tagged-foreign-policy-jd-vance-marco-rubio-national-security-nobel-peace-prize-russia-trump-ukraine-vladimir-putin-volodymyr-zelensky"],"yoast_head":"\nCould Trump\u2019s Narcissism Save Ukraine?\u00a0 - USA Business Chronicle<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/usabusinesschronicle.com\/?p=74\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Could Trump\u2019s Narcissism Save Ukraine?\u00a0 - 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